Week 11 Predictions

I had a pretty good week last wee, going 11-5. I will try to do just as well this week, although I will not be picking as many games since there are not many good matchups this week. My season record now stands at 91-60 (.603). Good to finally be back above .600. Hopefully I don't screw it up with these 12 picks:

Saturday, 11/10
#14 Michigan-27 @ #32 Wisconsin-14 (Michigan can lose this game and still win the Big 10. However, Wisconsin never wins big games against marquee opponents.)
#28 Wake Forest-13 @ #16 Clemson-28
#23 Arkansas-34 @ #21 Tennessee-20 (Arkansas will not win the SEC title...but they can shatter the dreams of those who can.)
#40 Texas Tech-14 @ #15 Texas-24
#29 Illinois-6 @ #1 Ohio State-28 (Defense and Chris Wells carry them to next week's game in Michigan.)
#33 Florida State-20 @ #8 Virginia Tech-23 (Can FSU pull off a 2nd straight road upset? Close, but no cigar.)
#17 Connecticut-22 @ #26 Cincinnati-27 (Both teams were impressive last week, but I think it's time for UConn to comeback down to earth.)
#15 Auburn-16 @ #13 Georgia-17 (I honestly have no clue how this game will turn out.)
#19 Florida-21 @ #30 South Carolina-24 (Uh, see comment above.)
#4 Kansas-34 @ #31 Oklahoma State-21 (I went with the Ok. St. upset pick last week against Texas, and while it almost (and should have) came true, I can't get burned by them again this week. Although I would like to see them win.)
#20 USC-26 @ #27 California-27 (Game of the week!)
NR Fresno State-34 @ #11 Hawaii-42 (Tempting upset pick, but Hawaii hangs on to perfection.)

Week 10 Rankings

Rank	Previous	Team	Record
1	1	Ohio State	(10-0, 6-0)
2	3	Oregon	(8-1, 5-1)
3	5	LSU	(8-1, 5-1)
4	8	Kansas	(9-0, 5-0)
5	4	West Virginia	(7-1, 2-1)
6	7	Oklahoma	(8-1, 4-1)
7	9	Missouri	(8-1, 4-1)
8	6	Arizona State	(8-1, 5-1)
9	2	Boston College	(8-1, 4-1)
10	10	Virginia Tech	(7-2, 4-1)
11	11	Hawai'i	(8-0, 5-0)
12	12	Boise State	(8-1, 5-0)
13	13	Georgia	(7-2, 4-2)
14	15	Michigan	(8-2, 6-0)
15	16	Auburn	(7-3, 4-2)
16	18	Clemson	(7-2, 4-2)
17	21	Connecticut	(8-1, 4-0)
18	17	Texas	(8-2, 4-2)
19	19	Florida	(6-3, 4-3)
20	20	USC	(7-2, 4-2)
21	24	Tennessee	(6-3, 3-2)
22	23	Alabama	(6-3, 4-2)
23	28	Arkansas	(6-3, 2-3)
24	22	Kentucky	(6-3, 2-3)
25	37	Virginia	(8-2, 5-1)
26	41	Cincinnati	(7-2, 3-2)
27	26	California	(6-3, 3-3)
28	14	Wake Forest	(6-3, 4-2)
29	33	Illinois	(7-3, 4-2)
30	27	South Carolina	(6-4, 3-4)
31	31	Oklahoma State	(5-4, 3-2)
32	29	Wisconsin	(7-3, 3-3)
33	NR	Florida State	(6-3, 3-3)
34	25	South Florida	(6-3, 1-3)
35	36	Penn State	(7-3, 4-3)
36	38	BYU	(6-2, 4-0)
37	35	Utah	(6-3, 3-2)
38	32	Purdue	(7-3, 3-3)
39	30	Rutgers	(5-4, 2-3)
40	48	Texas Tech	(7-3, 3-3)
41	44	Mississippi State	(5-4, 2-3)
42	NR	TCU	(5-4, 2-3)
43	NR	Air Force	(7-3, 5-2)
44	49	Troy	(6-3, 4-0)
45	NR	NC State	(4-5, 2-3)
46	40	Georgia Tech	(5-4, 2-4)
47	NR	Louisville	(5-4, 2-2)
48	45	Oregon State	(5-4, 3-3)
49	NR	Central Florida	(6-3, 4-1)
50	42	Colorado	(5-5, 3-3)

Dropped Out of Top 25: #28 Wake Forest (Prev. #14), #34 South Florida (Prev. #25)
-->Replaced By: #23 Arkansas (Prev. #34), #25 Virginia (Prev. # 37)

Dropped Out of Top 50: Vanderbilt (Prev. #43), Maryland (Prev. #39), Kansas State (Prev. #34), Miami, FL (Prev. #46), New Mexico (Prev. #47), UCLA (Prev. #50)
-->Replaced By: #33 Florida State, #42 TCU, #43 Air Force, #45 NC State, #47 Louisville, #49 Central Florida

Week 10 Predictions

I took a week off last week due to a busy schedule. Two weeks ago, I went 12-7, improving my season record to 80-55 (.593). Here are my 16 picks for this week:

Thursday, 11/1
#10 Virginia Tech-20 @ #40 Georgia Tech-9 (GT hasn't won 3 in a row all year. They've won the last two.)

Saturday, 11/3
#14 Wake Forest-17 @ #37 Virginia-23
#29 Wisconsin-28 @ #1 Ohio State-24 (This is my upset pick of the week. BUT, Chris Wells must be contained. If he gets 100 yards again, Wisconsin loses.)
NR Nebraska-13 @ #8 Kansas-30 (I think I am giving Nebraska too many points here.)
#49 Troy-21 @ #13 Georgia-48 (Troy will win the Sun Belt, but Georgia ain't the Sun Belt.)
#17 Texas-32 @ #31 Oklahoma State-35 (These two teams seem to always play entertaining games. I like the Cowboys in an upset.)
#15 Michigan-41 @ NR Michigan State-14 (Again....here come the Wolverines.)
#41 Cincinnati-14 @ #25 South Florida-27
#5 LSU-24 @ #23 Alabama-6 (This game does not live up to the hype. LSU wins convincingly.)
#9 Missouri-34 @ #42 Colorado-23
#6 Arizona State-34 @ #3 Oregon-44 (Will Rudy Carpenter be effective? If so, this is game of the week.)
#30 Rutgers-24 @ #21 Connecticut-16
#45 Oregon State-20 @ #20 USC-35
NR Texas A&M-17 @ #7 Oklahoma-38
NR Florida State-3 @ #2 Boston College-27 (FSU's sputtering offense sputters out with Xavier Lee suspended for two games.)
#27 South Carolina-17 @ #28 Arkansas-30 (Time for Darren McFadden to say: "Hello, remember me?")

Week 9 Rankings

Rank	Previous	Team	Record
1	1	Ohio State	(9-0, 5-0)
2	2	Boston College	(8-0, 4-0)
3	3	Oregon	(7-1, 4-1)
4	4	West Virginia	(7-1, 2-1)
5	5	LSU	(7-1, 4-1)
6	7	Arizona State	(8-0, 5-0)
7	8	Oklahoma	(7-1, 3-1)
8	11	Kansas	(8-0, 4-0)
9	12	Missouri	(7-1, 3-1)
10	6	Virginia Tech	(6-2, 3-1)
11	14	Hawai'i	(8-0, 5-0)
12	16	Boise State	(7-1, 4-0)
13	28	Georgia	(6-2, 4-2)
14	20	Wake Forest	(6-2, 4-1)
15	21	Michigan	(7-2, 5-0)
16	18	Auburn	(6-3, 4-2)
17	19	Texas	(7-2, 3-2)
18	24	Clemson	(6-2, 3-2)
19	9	Florida	(5-3, 3-3)
20	17	USC	(6-2, 3-2)
21	43	Connecticut	(7-1, 3-0)
22	13	Kentucky	(6-3, 2-3)
23	25	Alabama	(6-2, 4-1)
24	44	Tennessee	(5-3, 3-2)
25	10	South Florida	(6-2, 1-2)
26	22	California	(5-3, 2-3)
27	23	South Carolina	(6-3, 3-3)
28	30	Arkansas	(5-3, 1-3)
29	33	Wisconsin	(7-2, 3-2)
30	15	Rutgers	(5-3, 2-2)
31	29	Oklahoma State	(5-3, 3-1)
32	34	Purdue	(7-2, 3-2)
33	32	Illinois	(6-3, 3-2)
34	38	Kansas State	(5-3, 3-2)
35	39	Utah	(6-3, 3-2)
36	26	Penn State	(6-3, 3-3)
37	27	Virginia	(7-2, 4-1)
38	37	BYU	(5-2, 3-0)
39	31	Maryland	(4-4, 1-3)
40	40	Georgia Tech	(5-3, 2-3)
41	41	Cincinnati	(6-2, 2-2)
42	NR	Colorado	(5-4, 3-2)
43	42	Vanderbilt	(5-3, 2-3)
44	NR	Mississippi State	(5-4, 2-3)
45	46	Oregon State	(5-3, 3-2)
46	45	Miami (FL)	(5-3, 2-2)
47	49	New Mexico	(6-2, 3-1)
48	35	Texas Tech	(6-3, 2-3)
49	NR	Troy	(6-2, 4-0)
50	36	UCLA	(5-3, 4-1)

Dropped Out of Top 25: #26 California (Prev. #22), #27 South Carolina (Prev. #23), #30 Rutgers (Prev. #15)
-->Replaced By: #13 Georgia (Prev. #28), #21 Connecticut (Prev. # 43), #24 Tennessee (Prev. #44)

Dropped Out of Top 50: Texas A&M (Prev. #47), Air Force (Prev. #48), Michigan State (Prev. #50)
-->Replaced By: #42 Colorado, #44 Mississippi State, #49 Troy

Week 8 Rankings

Rank	Previous	Team	Record
1	1	Ohio State	(8-0, 4-0)
2	3	Boston College	(7-0, 3-0)
3	4	Oregon	(6-1, 3-1)
4	5	West Virginia	(6-1, 1-1)
5	8	LSU	(7-1, 4-1)
6	9	Virginia Tech	(6-1, 3-0)
7	11	Arizona State	(7-0, 4-0)
8	10	Oklahoma	(7-1, 3-1)
9	13	Florida	(5-2, 3-2)
10	2	South Florida	(6-1, 1-1)
11	15	Kansas	(7-0, 3-0)
12	16	Missouri	(6-1, 2-1)
13	7	Kentucky	(6-2, 2-2)
14	14	Hawai'i	(7-0, 4-0)
15	23	Rutgers	(5-2, 2-1)
16	17	Boise State	(6-1, 3-0)
17	21	USC	(6-1, 3-1)
18	18	Auburn	(5-3, 3-2)
19	19	Texas	(6-2, 2-2)
20	20	Wake Forest	(5-2, 3-1)
21	22	Michigan	(6-2, 4-0)
22	12	California	(5-2, 2-2)
23	6	South Carolina	(6-2, 3-2)
24	27	Clemson	(5-2, 2-2)
25	33	Alabama	(6-2, 4-1)
26	28	Penn State	(6-2, 3-2)
27	37	Virginia	(7-1, 4-0)
28	29	Georgia	(5-2, 3-2)
29	34	Oklahoma State	(5-3, 3-1)
30	36	Arkansas	(4-3, 1-3)
31	31	Maryland	(4-3, 1-2)
32	32	Illinois	(5-3, 3-2)
33	38	Wisconsin	(6-2, 2-2)
34	39	Purdue	(6-2, 2-2)
35	24	Texas Tech	(6-2, 2-2)
36	NR	UCLA	(5-2, 4-0)
37	40	BYU	(5-2, 3-0)
38	35	Kansas State	(4-3, 2-2)
39	47	Utah	(5-3, 2-2)
40	43	Georgia Tech	(5-3, 2-3)
41	25	Cincinnati	(6-2, 2-2)
42	NR	Vanderbilt	(4-3, 2-3)
43	NR	Connecticut	(6-1, 2-0)
44	26	Tennessee	(4-3, 2-2)
45	NR	Miami (FL)	(5-3, 2-2)
46	44	Oregon State	(4-3, 2-2)
47	50	Texas A&M	(6-2, 3-1)
48	NR	Air Force	(6-2, 5-1)
49	48	New Mexico	(5-2, 2-1)
50	45	Michigan State	(5-3, 1-3)

Dropped Out of Top 25: #35 Texas Tech (Prev. #24), #41 Cincinnati (Prev. #25)
-->Replaced By: #24 Clemson (Prev. #27), #25 Alabama (Prev. # 33)

Dropped Out of Top 50: Louisville (Prev. #42), Florida State (Prev. #30), TCU (Prev. #41), Wyoming (Prev. #49), East Carolina (Prev. #46)
-->Replaced By: #36 UCLA, #42 Vanderbilt, #43 Connecticut, #45 Miami (FL), #48 Air Force

Week 8 Predictions

The more I watch college football, the less I know about it. Much to my surprise and disgust, I had a losing record in my picks this week, going 7-10. My season record now stands at 68-48 (.586). So much for getting back on track. I have nothing left to say other than here are my 19 picks for this week:

Thursday, 10/18
#2 South Florida-27 @ #23 Rutgers-30 (I think it's time for the rapid success of USF to get to their heads.)
#47 Utah-16 @ #41 TCU-23

Saturday, 10/20
#28 Penn State-23 @ NR Indiana-14 (Potential trap game, PSU can not falter.)
NR Central Michigan-20 @ #27 Clemson-34 (Intriguing game, but a MAC team will not win in Death Valley.)
#25 Cincinnati-30 @ NR Pitt-20 (After Pitt loses at home again, their AD will be fired.)
I-AA North Dakota State-20 @ NR Minnesota-15 (Last year Minnesota escaped with a 10-9 victory. Not this time, the Bison are a great team and should be in I-A.)
#26 Tennessee-27 @ #33 Alabama-14 (Alabama is overrated.)
#21 USC-28 @ NR Notre Dame-10
#45 Michigan State-17 @ #1 Ohio State-34
NR Mississippi State-13 @ #5 West Virginia-41
NR Miami (FL)-10 @ #30 Florida State-20 (The Hurricanes suck on offense.)
#13 Florida-26 @ #7 Kentucky-28 (I think this will be the game of the week. I like the Wildcats pulling off a 2nd consecutive huge win at home.)
#24 Texas Tech-17 @ #16 Missouri-30
#15 Kansas-28 @ NR Colorado-31 (If OU can lose at Boulder, so can KU.)
#35 Kansas State-34 @ #34 Oklahoma State-35
#4 Oregon-34 @ NR Washington-20
#37 Virginia-10 @ #31 Maryland-16 (I like the Terps over their rival.)
#22 Michigan-35 @ #32 Illinois-24 (Potential game of the week, but here come the Wolverines.)
#18 Auburn-9 @ #8 LSU-27 (Feeling the sting of their recent defeat, I think LSU dominates to prove they are still arguably the best team in the land.)

Week 7 Rankings

Rank	Previous	Team	Record
1	3	Ohio State	(7-0, 3-0)
2	5	South Florida	(6-0, 1-0)
3	4	Boston College	(7-0, 3-0)
4	7	Oregon	(5-1, 2-1)
5	6	West Virginia	(5-1, 1-1)
6	10	South Carolina	(6-1, 3-1)
7	20	Kentucky	(6-1, 2-1)
8	1	LSU	(6-1, 3-1)
9	9	Virginia Tech	(6-1, 3-0)
10	11	Oklahoma	(6-1, 2-1)
11	14	Arizona State	(7-0, 4-0)
12	2	California	(5-1, 2-1)
13	12	Florida	(4-2, 2-2)
14	8	Hawai'i	(7-0, 4-0)
15	19	Kansas	(6-0, 2-0)
16	13	Missouri	(5-1, 1-1)
17	15	Boise State	(5-1, 2-0)
18	21	Auburn	(5-2, 3-1)
19	23	Texas	(5-2, 1-2)
20	27	Wake Forest	(4-2, 3-1)
21	25	USC	(5-1, 3-1)
22	35	Michigan	(5-2, 3-0)
23	26	Rutgers	(4-2, 1-1)
24	36	Texas Tech	(6-1, 2-1)
25	16	Cincinnati	(6-1, 2-1)
26	29	Tennessee	(4-2, 2-1)
27	28	Clemson	(4-2, 2-2)
28	46	Penn State	(5-2, 2-2)
29	31	Georgia	(5-2, 3-2)
30	22	Florida State	(4-2, 1-2)
31	32	Maryland	(4-2, 1-1)
32	17	Illinois	(5-2, 3-1)
33	34	Alabama	(5-2, 3-1)
34	45	Oklahoma State	(4-3, 2-1)
35	44	Kansas State	(4-2, 2-1)
36	30	Arkansas	(3-3, 0-3)
37	37	Virginia	(6-1, 3-0)
38	18	Wisconsin	(5-2, 2-2)
39	24	Purdue	(5-2, 1-2)
40	39	BYU	(4-2, 3-0)
41	41	TCU	(4-3, 1-2)
42	NR	Louisville	(4-3, 1-1)
43	43	Georgia Tech	(4-3, 2-3)
44	NR	Oregon State	(4-3, 2-2)
45	NR	Michigan State	(5-2, 1-2)
46	NR	East Carolina	(4-3, 3-1)
47	49	Utah	(4-3, 1-2)
48	NR	New Mexico	(4-2, 1-1)
49	33	Wyoming	(4-2, 1-1)
50	38	Texas A&M	(5-2, 2-1)

Dropped Out of Top 25: #30 Florida State, #32 Illinois, #38 Wisconsin, #39 Purdue
-->Replaced By: #20 Wake Forest, #22 Michigan, #23 Rutgers, #24 Texas Tech

Dropped Out of Top 50: Nebraska (Prev. #40), Indiana (Prev. #42), Colorado (Prev. #47), Connecticut (Prev. #48), UTEP (Prev. #50)
-->Replaced By: #42 Louisville, #44 Oregon State, #45 Michigan State, #46 East Carolina, #48 New Mexico

Teams Rising: #7 Kentucky (+13), #20 Wake Forest (+7), #22 Michigan (+13), #24 Texas Tech (+12), #28 Penn State (+18), #34 Oklahoma State (+11), #35 Kansas State (+9)

Teams Falling: #8 LSU (-7), #12 Cal (-10), #14 Hawaii (-6), #25 Cincinnati (-9), #30 Florida State (-8), #32 Illinois (-15), #36 Arkansas (-6), #38 Wisconsin (-20), #39 Purdue (-15), #49 Wyoming (-16), #50 Texas A&M (-12)