Thursday, February 20, 2014

2013-14 Statistical College Basketball Rankings, Vol. XIII

For this week's ratings, I made a significant overhaul with how I compute the raw metric. I did this because I felt that there was enough error after last week's ratings, that I could only agree with 75-80% of my Top 50. I didn't feel that was good enough so I made a change. I'm not sure how I feel about this modification yet, but I think it's a step in the right direction. Arizona's second loss of the season drops them to #2, allowing for Florida to return to #1 in my rankings. Here is my latest Top 50 through games played on Tuesday, 2/18:

Rank Prev.
Rank
TEAM Record Weighted
Metric
Raw
Metric
AP
Rank
1 3 Florida (23-2, 12-0) 4.400 3 2
2 1 Arizona (23-2, 10-2) 10.600 1 4
3 5 Syracuse (25-0, 12-0) 11.841 12 1
4 2 Villanova (23-3, 11-2) 13.413 9 9
5 4 Iowa (19-6, 8-4) 15.550 2 15
6 7 Wichita St (27-0, 14-0) 16.000 16 3
7 10 Louisville (22-4, 11-2) 21.300 4 11
8 9 Creighton (21-4, 11-2) 25.072 13 11
9 15 Cincinnati (23-3, 12-1) 26.063 25 7
10 19 Kentucky (20-6, 10-3) 27.390 7 18
11 6 Pittsburgh (20-6, 8-5) 28.250 10 28
12 17 Virginia (22-5, 13-1) 28.588 20 14
13 16 Kansas (20-6, 11-2) 29.050 19 8
14 14 Memphis (19-6, 8-4) 30.750 25 22
15 32 N Carolina (18-7, 8-4) 31.575 18 26
16 18 San Diego St (23-2, 12-1) 31.881 34 6
17 8 Michigan St (21-5, 10-3) 31.985 8 13
18 13 Duke (21-5, 10-3) 32.341 22 5
19 11 Iowa State (20-5, 8-5) 33.115 15 17
20 34 Oklahoma (19-7, 8-5) 34.920 55 31
21 12 UCLA (20-5, 9-3) 35.000 10 23
22 20 Michigan (18-7, 10-3) 35.708 20 20
23 23 Connecticut (20-5, 8-4) 36.580 16 21
24 21 Wisconsin (21-5, 8-5) 38.484 4 16
25 22 Ohio State (20-6, 7-6) 39.834 6 24
26 29 Texas (20-6, 9-4) 41.607 30 19
27 24 George Washington (20-6, 8-4) 41.631 31 NR
28 28 Saint Louis (23-2, 10-0) 42.000 42 10
29 40 VCU (20-6, 8-3) 43.045 34 33
30 26 Colorado (19-7, 8-5) 44.240 29 NR
31 30 Gonzaga (23-4, 13-1) 47.600 27 25
32 31 Baylor (17-9, 5-8) 50.914 36 NR
33 NR Minnesota (17-9, 6-7) 53.162 38 NR
34 37 New Mexico (19-5, 10-2) 54.152 43 32
35 42 Marquette (15-10, 7-5) 54.733 46 NR
36 35 California (17-8, 8-4) 55.711 44 NR
37 44 Arizona St (19-6, 8-4) 55.838 24 27
38 27 Oklahoma St (16-10, 4-9) 56.953 13 NR
39 33 Stanford (16-8, 7-5) 57.483 41 NR
40 39 Arkansas (16-9, 5-7) 58.002 28 NR
41 25 SMU (20-6, 9-4) 59.489 44 28
42 NR U Mass (20-5, 7-4) 59.696 37 NR
43 36 Kansas St (17-8, 7-5) 60.501 31 34
44 47 Xavier (17-8, 7-5) 63.383 48 NR
45 NR Florida St (15-11, 6-8) 64.799 39 NR
46 46 Georgetown (15-10, 6-7) 64.899 56 NR
47 NR St Josephs (17-7, 7-3) 65.280 51 NR
48 NR Clemson (16-9, 7-6) 65.999 54 NR
49 NR St Johns (18-9, 8-6) 66.025 33 NR
50 NR Nebraska (14-10, 6-6) 66.093 61 NR

Maryland Update: Not much change from last week, as the Terps (15-12, 7-7) drop 1 spot from 64th to 65th. Their next game is home against Syracuse, which may now be winnable since they just lost a home game to BC (note: since that game was played on Wednesday, 2/19; it is not included in these ratings). I think Maryland has to win this game to even be in the conversation of a bubble team.

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