2012-13 NCAA Basketball Rankings - Vol. X

There are still four conference championships left, but with today being Selection Sunday, here are my rankings through games played on Saturday, March 16th:

 

Rank	Last	Team	Record	Conference
1	1	Gonzaga	(31-2, 16-0)	West Coast
2	4	Louisville	(29-5, 14-4)	Big East
3	2	Indiana	(27-6, 14-4)	B1G
4	5	Kansas	(29-5, 14-4)	Big 12
5	7	Florida	(26-6, 14-4)	SEC
6	9	Miami	(26-6, 15-3)	ACC
7	6	Duke	(27-5, 14-4)	ACC
8	13	Ohio St.	(25-7, 13-5)	B1G
9	3	Georgetown	(25-6, 14-4)	Big East
10	12	New Mexico	(29-5, 13-3)	Mountain West
11	16	Wisconsin	(23-10, 12-6)	B1G
12	10	Michigan St.	(25-8, 13-5)	B1G
13	8	Oklahoma St.	(24-8, 13-5)	Big 12
14	11	Michigan	(26-7, 12-6)	B1G
15	15	Saint Louis	(26-6, 13-3)	Atlantic 10
16	20	Syracuse	(26-9, 11-7)	Big East
17	19	Kansas St.	(27-7, 14-4)	Big 12
18	18	VCU	(26-7, 12-4)	Atlantic 10
19	14	Marquette	(23-8, 14-4)	Big East
20	29	Memphis	(30-4, 16-0)	Conference-USA
21	17	Pitt	(24-8, 12-6)	Big East
22	24	Notre Dame	(25-9, 11-7)	Big East
23	28	Creighton	(27-7, 13-5)	Missouri Valley
24	26	UNLV	(24-9, 10-6)	Mountain West
25	32	Oregon	(26-8, 12-6)	PAC-12
26	30	Butler	(26-8, 11-5)	Atlantic 10
27	21	St. Mary's	(27-6, 14-2)	West Coast
28	25	Colorado St.	(25-8, 11-5)	Mountain West
29	34	North Carolina	(24-9, 12-6)	ACC
30	23	UCLA	(24-9, 13-5)	PAC-12
31	27	Arizona	(25-7, 12-6)	PAC-12
32	22	Minnesota	(20-12, 8-10)	B1G
33	39	Iowa St.	(22-11, 11-7)	Big 12
34	45	NC State	(24-10, 11-7)	ACC
35	31	San Diego St.	(22-10, 9-7)	Mountain West
36	33	Illinois	(22-12, 8-10)	B1G
37	38	Cincinnati	(21-11, 9-9)	Big East
38	40	Boise St.	(21-10, 9-7)	Mountain West
39	42	Wichita St.	(26-8, 12-6)	Missouri Valley
40	37	Missouri	(23-10, 11-7)	SEC
41	36	Virginia	(21-11, 11-7)	ACC
42	N/A	Belmont	(26-6, 14-2)	Ohio Valley
43	35	Oklahoma	(20-11, 11-7)	Big 12
44	N/A	Mississippi	(25-8, 12-6)	SEC
45	50	Villanova	(20-13, 10-8)	Big East
46	N/A	Temple	(23-9, 11-5)	Atlantic 10
47	46	Colorado	(21-11, 10-8)	PAC-12
48	N/A	Iowa	(21-12, 9-9)	B1G
49	48	La Salle	(21-9, 11-5)	Atlantic 10
50	N/A	Maryland	(22-12, 8-10)	ACC

Dropped From Rankings: #41 Cal, #43 Middle Tennessee St., #44 UConn, #47 Louisiana Tech, #49 Kentucky

Teams Rising:

• +11 NC State (24-10, 11-7)
• +9 Memphis (30-4, 16-0)
• +9 Belmont (26-6, 14-2)
• +7 Oregon (26-8, 12-6)
• +7 Mississippi (25-8, 12-6)

Teams Falling:

• -10 Minnesota (20-12, 8-10)
• -10 Cal (20-11, 12-6)
• -8 Oklahoma (20-11, 11-7)
• -8 Middle Tennessee St. (28-5, 19-1)
• -7 UCLA (24-9, 13-5)

Of the 68 NCAA Tournament teams, there are 37 at-large bids. This week, I consider teams in the Top 40 as 'Locks'. Of those teams, 11 are conference leaders/winners and 29 are at-large locks. The next 16 at-large teams (excluding ineligible UConn) are in my opinion bubble teams (First 8 in, next 8 out).

• Bubble Teams IN: Virginia, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Villanova, Temple, Colorado, Iowa, La Salle
• Bubble Teams OUT: Maryland, Alabama, Tennessee, Middle Tennessee St., Kentucky, Cal, Baylor, Southern Miss
• Below the Bubble NIT Teams: Massachusetts, Arizona St., Stanford, Ohio, Louisiana Tech, Arkansas, Xavier, Denver

-------------

Projected Seeds

16 (First Four) -  Liberty, North Carolina A&T, Southern, James Madison

16 - LIU-Brooklyn, Albany

15 - Pacific, Western Kentucky, Florida Gulf Coast, Northwestern St.

14 - Harvard, Iona, New Mexico St., South Dakota St.

13 - Valparaiso, Montana, Bucknell, Davidson

12 (First Four) - La Salle, Iowa, Colorado, Temple

12 - Villanova, Akron

11 - Mississippi, Oklahoma, Belmont, Virginia

10 - Missouri, Wichita St., Boise St., Cincinnati

9 - Illinois, San Diego St., NC State, Iowa St.

8 - Minnesota, Arizona, UCLA, North Carolina

7 - Colorado St., St. Mary's, Butler, Oregon

6 - UNLV, Creighton, Notre Dame, Pitt

5 - Memphis, Marquette, VCU, Kansas St.

4 - Syracuse, Saint Louis, Michigan, Oklahoma St.

3 - Michigan St., Wisconsin, New Mexico, Georgetown

2 - Ohio St., Duke, Miami, Florida

1 - Kansas, Indiana, Louisville, Gonzaga

February 2013 Climate Data

Notes:

• Temperature data from the airport (GFK) and precipitation data from the University. 
• ##^R denotes record maximum
• ##_R denotes record minimum

Grand Forks, ND (GFK)

Day	High	Low	Dep.	Precip.	Snow	Depth
1	-2	-19	-18	Trace	Trace	2”
2	7	-12	-10	0.01”	0.5”	2”
3	6	-8	-9	0.00”	0.0”	3”
4	29	1	+6	0.10”	2.6”	3”
5	27	0	+5	0.00”	0.0”	4”
6	19	9	+5	0.09”	1.4”	4”
7	11	-3	-5	0.00"	0.0"	5"
8	25	10	+8	Trace	0.0"	5"
9	30	21	+16	0.00"	0.0"	4"
10	29	22	+16	0.13"	4.8"	4"
11	24	13	+8	Trace	0.1"	7"
12	33	12	+12	0.00"	0.0"	7"
13	28	12	+9	0.00"	0.0"	6"
14	21	2	0	0.00"	0.0"	6"
15	17	-6	-6	0.00"	0.0"	6"
16	16	-5	-6	Trace	Trace	6"
17	29	15	+9	0.02"	0.2"	6"
18	26	-6	-3	0.09"	4.2"	8"
19	-5	-15	-23	0.00"	0.0"	7"
20	3	-18	-21	0.00"	0.0"	7"
21	17	-4	-7	0.00"	0.0"	7"
22	17	0	-5	0.00"	0.0"	6"
23	19	4	-3	0.00"	0.0"	6"
24	24	3	-1	Trace	0.2"	5"
25	28	3	0	0.00"	0.0"	5"
26	20	8	-2	Trace	Trace	5"
27	28	8	+1	0.00"	0.0"	5"
28	25	7	-1	0.00"	0.0"	4"
Feb 2013	19.7	1.9	-1.2	0.44”	14.0”	Avg. 5.1"

Average High: 19.7°F [Departure from Normal: -2.2°F]
Average Low: 1.9°F [Departure from Normal: -0.2°F]
Mean Temperature: 10.8°F [Departure From Normal: -1.2°F]
Total Precipitation: 0.44" [Departure from Normal: -0.15"; 75% of normal]
Total Snowfall: 14.0" [Departure from Normal: +7.1"; 203% of normal]
Seasonal Snowfall: 33.6" [Departure from Normal: -9.2"; 79% of normal]

2012-13 NCAA Basketball Rankings - Vol. IX

Below are my rankings through games played on Sunday, March 3rd:

Rank	Last	Team	Record	Conference
1	2	Gonzaga	(29-2, 16-0)	West Coast
2	1	Indiana	(25-4, 13-3)	B1G
3	5	Georgetown	(23-4, 13-3)	Big East
4	6	Louisville	(24-5, 12-4)	Big East
5	7	Kansas	(25-4, 13-3)	Big 12
6	4	Duke	(25-4, 12-4)	ACC
7	3	Florida	(23-5, 13-3)	SEC
8	10	Oklahoma St.	(22-6, 12-4)	Big 12
9	11	Miami	(23-5, 14-2)	ACC
10	8	Michigan St.	(22-7, 11-5)	B1G
11	9	Michigan	(24-5, 11-5)	B1G
12	13	New Mexico	(25-4, 12-2)	Mountain West
13	14	Ohio St.	(21-7, 11-5)	B1G
14	27	Marquette	(21-7, 12-4)	Big East
15	18	Saint Louis	(23-5, 12-2)	Atlantic 10
16	12	Wisconsin	(20-9, 11-5)	B1G
17	22	Pitt	(23-7, 11-6)	Big East
18	23	VCU	(23-6, 11-3)	Atlantic 10
19	24	Kansas St.	(24-5, 13-3)	Big 12
20	15	Syracuse	(22-7, 10-6)	Big East
21	21	St. Mary's	(26-5, 13-2)	West Coast
22	30	Minnesota	(20-9, 8-8)	B1G
23	29	UCLA	(22-7, 12-4)	PAC-12
24	19	Notre Dame	(22-7, 10-6)	Big East
25	17	Colorado St.	(22-7, 9-5)	Mountain West
26	26	UNLV	(21-7, 9-5)	Mountain West
27	16	Arizona	(23-6, 11-6)	PAC-12
28	37	Creighton	(24-7, 13-5)	Missouri Valley
29	20	Memphis	(25-4, 14-0)	Conference-USA
30	25	Butler	(22-7, 9-5)	Atlantic 10
31	28	San Diego St.	(20-8, 8-6)	Mountain West
32	36	Oregon	(23-6, 12-4)	PAC-12
33	34	Illinois	(21-9, 8-8)	B1G
34	44	North Carolina	(21-8, 11-5)	ACC
35	32	Oklahoma	(19-9, 10-6)	Big 12
36	39	Virginia	(20-9, 10-6)	ACC
37	43	Missouri	(21-8, 10-6)	SEC
38	38	Cincinnati	(19-9, 8-8)	Big East
39	35	Iowa St.	(19-10, 9-7)	Big 12
40	46	Boise St.	(20-8, 8-6)	Mountain West
41	48	Cal	(19-9, 11-5)	Pac-12
42	31	Wichita St.	(24-7, 12-6)	Missouri Valley
43	45	Middle Tennessee St.	(27-4, 19-1)	Sun Belt
44	33	Connecticut	(19-10, 9-8)	Big East
45	50	NC State	(21-8, 10-6)	ACC
46	40	Colorado	(19-9, 9-7)	PAC-12
47	49	Louisiana Tech	(26-3, 16-0)	WAC
48	N/A	La Salle	(20-7, 10-4)	Atlantic 10
49	42	Kentucky	(20-9, 11-5)	SEC
50	41	Villanova	(18-12, 9-8)	Big East

Dropped From Rankings: #47 Akron

Teams Rising:

• +13 Marquette (21-7, 10-4)
• +10 North Carolina (21-8, 11-5)
• +9 Creighton (24-7, 13-5)
• +8 Minnesota (20-9, 8-8)
• +7 Cal (19-9, 11-5)

Teams Falling:

• -11 Arizona (23-6, 11-6)
• -11 Wichita St. (24-7, 12-6)
• -11 Connecticut (19-10, 9-8)
• -9 Memphis (25-4, 14-0)
• -9 Villanova (18-12, 9-8)

Of the 68 NCAA Tournament teams, there are 37 at-large bids. This week, I consider teams in the Top 39 as 'Locks'. Of those teams, 10 are conference leaders and 29 are at-large locks. The next 16 at-large teams (excluding ineligible UConn) are in my opinion bubble teams (First 8 in, next 8 out).

• Bubble Teams IN: Boise St., Cal, Wichita St., NC State, Colorado, La Salle,Kentucky, Villanova
• Bubble Teams OUT: Baylor, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Iowa, Mississippi, Maryland, Denver
• Below the Bubble NIT Teams: Temple, BYU, Evansville, Southern Miss, Massachusetts, Xavier, Stanford, Arizona St.