Sunday, February 15, 2009

Bracket Projection #1

Here is an early look at who's in and who's out. First the 31 automatic qualifiers:


Conference Automatic Bids
ACC UNC
America East Vermont
Atlantic Sun E. Tennessee St.
Atlantic 10 Dayton
Big East Connecticut
Big Sky Weber State
Big South VMI
Big Ten Michigan State
Big 12 Oklahoma
Big West Long Beach State
Colonial VCU
Conference USA Memphis
Horizon Butler
Ivy Cornell
MAC Buffalo
MAAC Siena
MEAC Morgan State
Missouri Valley Northern Iowa
Mountain West Utah
Northeast Robert Morris
Ohio Valley Austin Peay
Pac 10 UCLA
Patriot American
SEC LSU
Southern Davidson
Southland Texas A&M-C.C.
Summit North Dakota State
SWAC Alabama State
Sun Belt Western Kentucky
West Coast Gonzaga
WAC Utah State


And now the 34 at-large teams (according to my rankings):

Conference At-Large
ACC Duke, Clemson, Wake Forest, Florida State,
Virginia Tech, Boston College
America East
Atlantic Sun
Atlantic 10 Xavier
Big East Pitt, Villanova, Louisville, Marquette, West
Virginia, Syracuse, Georgetown
Big Sky
Big South
Big Ten Illinois, Purdue, Ohio State, Minnesota
Big 12 Missouri, Kansas, Texas
Big West
Colonial George Mason
Conference USA
Horizon
Ivy
MAC
MAAC
MEAC
Missouri Valley Illinois State
Mountain West UNLV, San Diego State, BYU
Northeast
Ohio Valley
Pac 10 Arizona State, Washington, Stanford, Cal
Patriot
SEC Florida, South Carolina, Tennessee
Southern
Southland
Summit
SWAC
Sun Belt
West Coast St. Mary's
WAC


Last 8 Teams IN:
Syracuse, South Carolina, George Mason, Georgetown, Boston College, Illinois State, Tennessee, BYU

Last 8 Teams OUT:
Cincinnati, Wisconsin, Notre Dame, Michigan, Miami (FL), Kentucky, WI-Green Bay, Baylor

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Now, a lot will change over the next few weeks, so here is a look at previously unmentioned teams capable at making a tournament run...

  1. Creighton (20-6, 10-4, RPI: 60) This team is one of the hottest in the country and have a long tournament history out of the Missouri Valley.
  2. Cleveland State (18-8, 9-5, RPI: 86) A big early season win AT Syracuse, plus a deep run in their conference tourney could give the Horizon Conference a rare at-large bid.
  3. Arizona (17-8, 7-5, RPI: 53) Five big wins over San Diego State, Gonzaga, Kansas, Washington, and just recently UCLA, should provide a convincing argument to make the NCAA tourney.
  4. UAB (16-8, 6-3, RPI: 32) Buried beneath the discussion of Memphis' 51-game Conference-USA winning streak is a very respectable UAB team. Their only key win is against Arizona, but they have had a tough schedule which should make them tournament ready if selected.
  5. USC (15-8, 6-5, RPI: 42) Inconsistent...yes. Underachieving...yes. However, this team has high potential and can match up against anyone. USC, not Arkansas, almost handed Oklahoma their first loss of the season. They lost that game 73-72. A few head-scratching losses makes you wonder if that was a fluke or if they can be much better than they are.

RPI Rankings used from RPIRatings.com and are valid for games played through Feb. 9th. I highly recommend visiting this website due to their impressive accuracy through the years. Definitely one of my favorite college basketball websites.

Friday the 13th NCAA BB Ranks

These rankings are valid through all games played through Friday, 2/13. Next updated will rankings will hopefully be Thursday, 2/19.

Rank LW Team Record
1 1 Oklahoma (24-1, 10-0)
2 2 Connecticut (23-1, 11-1)
3 5 North Carolina (22-2, 8-2)
4 6 Pitt (22-2, 9-2)
5 9 Michigan State (20-4, 10-2)
6 3 Duke (20-4, 7-3)
7 12 Clemson (21-3, 6-3)
8 7 Butler (22-2, 13-1)
9 13 Dayton (22-3, 8-2)
10 21 Memphis (21-3, 9-0)
11 4 Wake Forest (18-4, 5-4)
12 14 UCLA (19-5, 8-3)
13 8 Xavier (20-4, 8-2)
14 18 Villanova (20-5, 8-4)
15 10 Louisville (18-5, 9-2)
16 15 Marquette (20-4, 9-2)
17 27 Missouri (21-4, 8-2)
18 20 Davidson (21-4, 14-1)
19 23 Illinois (20-5, 8-4)
20 26 Florida State (19-5, 6-3)
21 16 Purdue (18-6, 7-4)
22 24 Kansas (19-5, 8-1)
23 25 Arizona State (19-5, 8-4)
24 29 Ohio State (17-5, 7-4)
25 48 Washington (18-6, 9-3)




26 19 Gonzaga (18-5, 9-0)
27 11 Texas (16-7, 5-4)
28 32 Virginia Tech (16-7, 6-3)
29 35 LSU (20-4, 8-1)
30 17 Minnesota (19-5, 7-5)
31 40 West Virginia (17-8, 6-6)
32 22 St. Mary's (19-5, 6-4)
33 28 Florida (19-5, 6-3)
34 42 UNLV (18-6, 6-4)
35 43 San Diego State (17-6, 7-3)
36 34 Stanford (15-7, 4-7)
37 44 Northern Iowa (18-7, 12-2)
38 41 California (18-6, 7-4)
39 31 Syracuse (18-7, 6-6)
40 NR Utah State (24-1, 12-0)
41 45 South Carolina (17-5, 6-3)
42 46 VCU (18-7, 11-3)
43 30 George Mason (16-8, 9-5)
44 36 Georgetown (13-9, 4-6)
45 49 Boston College (18-8, 6-5)
46 NR Illinois State (20-5, 9-5)
47 NR Tennessee (15-8, 6-3)
48 NR BYU (18-5, 6-3)
49 NR Siena (20-6, 14-1)
50 NR Utah (17-7, 8-2)