Thursday, August 28, 2008

College Football 08!

Since pre-season rankings are a joke, I projected out the records of every team I felt could be bowl-eligible. In the end, I projected records for 80 teams, 8 of which I feel will fall one win shy of becoming bowl eligible. Next I ranked the teams based on my projected final record for each team using the following parameters, in order:
  1. Record
  2. Quality of Wins
  3. Relative amount of improvement/regression over the final half of the season (i.e. 2007 South Carolina Gamecocks scenario)
In the end, I do not expect any undefeated teams. I do expect chaos this season with not one, not two, not three, but 7 one-loss teams! Those teams are: USC, Georgia, Ohio State, Missouri, Clemson, Texas Tech, and Utah. Based largely on quality of wins, I have USC vs. Georgia in the National Championship. In case you're interested, here are the losses for those one-loss teams:
  • USC losing at UCLA (12/6)
  • Georgia losing at Auburn (11/15)
  • Ohio State losing at USC (9/13)
  • Clemson losing vs. South Carolina (11/29)
  • Missouri losing at Texas (10/18)
  • Texas Tech losing at Oklahoma (11/22)
  • Utah losing at Michigan (9/30)
My other 3 BCS teams will be Florida, Virginia Tech, and Pitt. So, here is my top 50:

Rank Previous Team Record
1 4 USC (11-1, 7-1)
2 2 Georgia (11-1, 7-1)
3 3 Ohio State (11-1, 8-0)
4 15 Clemson (11-1, 8-0)
5 5 Missouri (11-1, 7-1)
6 17 Texas Tech (11-1, 7-1)
7 20 Florida (10-2, 7-1)
8 8 Virginia Tech (10-2, 7-1)
9 9 Oklahoma (10-2, 6-2)
10 23 Wisconsin (10-2, 7-1)
11 24 Utah (11-1, 8-0)
12 6 Kansas (9-3, 5-3)
13 22 BYU (10-2, 7-1)
14 NR Pitt (10-2, 6-1)
15 21 Illinois (9-3, 6-2)
16 48 California (10-2, 7-2)
17 16 Arizona State (9-3, 7-2)
18 13 Texas (9-3, 5-3)
19 29 Wake Forest (9-3, 6-2)
20 7 West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)
21 14 Auburn (9-3, 5-3)
22 31 Penn State (9-3, 5-3)
23 1 LSU (8-4, 4-4)
24 NR Central Michigan (10-2, 8-0)
25 40 Fresno State (9-3, 7-1)




26 12 Tennessee (8-4, 5-3)
27 NR Houston (10-2, 7-1)
28 49 UCLA (8-4, 5-4)
29 34 Boise State (9-3, 7-1)
30 36 Texas A&M (9-3, 5-3)
31 46 Tulsa (9-3, 6-2)
32 35 South Florida (8-4, 4-3)
33 38 TCU (8-4, 5-3)
34 44 Rutgers (8-4, 3-4)
35 19 Michigan (7-5, 4-4)
36 NR Miami (OH) (9-3, 8-0)
37 11 Boston College (7-5, 3-5)
38 27 Oregon State (7-5, 6-3)
39 28 Arkansas (7-5, 4-4)
40 NR Miami (FL) (7-5, 5-3)
41 39 South Carolina (7-5, 4-4)
42 NR Purdue (7-5, 4-4)
43 NR Alabama (7-5, 4-4)
44 33 Connecticut (7-5, 3-4)
45 10 Hawai'i (7-6, 5-3)
46 25 Oregon (6-6, 4-5)
47 41 Oklahoma State (7-5, 3-5)
48 NR Nevada (8-4, 6-2)
49 NR Florida Atlantic (8-4, 6-1)
50 42 Central Florida (7-5, 6-2)

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