Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Statistical College Basketball Rankings, Vol. III

Below are my latest statistical college basketball rankings. Dropping out of the Top 50 were: Creighton, Illinois, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Xavier. They were replaced by five new teams: Indiana, Virginia, Florida St., Arizona St., and George Washington. For this week's rankings, I began the process of decreasing the weight of last year's final rankings, and will continue to do so until it is completely removed by New Year's Day.

Rank Prev.
Rank
TEAM Record Weighted
Metric
2013-14
Metric Rank
AP Rank
1 7 Arizona (7-0, 0-0) 9.2 3 2
2 8 Ohio State (6-0, 0-0) 12.4 5 5
3 4 Syracuse (7-0, 0-0) 12.8 17 4
4 3 Pittsburgh (7-0, 0-0) 15 8 31
5 6 Memphis (5-1, 0-0) 17.5 9 16
6 9 Oklahoma St (7-1, 0-0) 18.85 2 9
7 23 Villanova (7-0, 0-0) 19.9 4 14
8 1 Kansas (6-1, 0-0) 19.9 18 6
9 11 Iowa State (6-0, 0-0) 20.15 10 17
10 5 Louisville (6-1, 0-0) 20.2 39 7
11 12 Wisconsin (8-0, 0-0) 20.3 25 8
12 2 Florida (6-2, 0-0) 25.3 11 15
13 10 Michigan St (7-0, 0-0) 25.6 16 1
14 14 Duke (6-2, 0-0) 27.6 62 10
15 34 San Diego St (5-1, 0-0) 29.2 14 24
16 17 Wichita St (8-0, 0-0) 29.4 7 11
17 NR Indiana (6-1, 0-0) 29.75 56 26
18 24 Connecticut (8-0, 0-0) 30.5 45 12
19 15 Kentucky (7-1, 0-0) 31 13 3
20 13 UCLA (7-0, 0-0) 32.6 34 18
21 20 Oregon (7-0, 0-0) 33 38 13
22 19 Colorado (7-1, 0-0) 33.4 15 35
23 43 Dayton (6-1, 0-0) 34.2 21 25
24 27 Iowa (7-1, 0-0) 34.6 1 23
25 50 Michigan (5-2, 0-0) 37.05 6 22
26 18 Baylor (7-1, 0-0) 40.4 28 20
27 32 Arkansas (4-2, 0-0) 41.2 29 NR
28 41 Marquette (5-3, 0-0) 41.2 35 NR
29 16 Minnesota (6-2, 0-0) 41.2 22 NR
30 25 BYU (6-2, 0-0) 41.2 36 NR
31 22 California (6-2, 0-0) 42.4 23 NR
32 39 Gonzaga (7-1, 0-0) 42.6 27 19
33 26 Cincinnati (6-0, 0-0) 43.05 58 40
34 NR Virginia (7-1, 0-0) 46.7 32 27
35 31 Oklahoma (6-1, 0-0) 47.2 37 NR
36 40 Saint Louis (6-2, 0-0) 48.2 49 NR
37 49 VCU (6-2, 0-0) 49.1 50 33
38 33 Butler (5-2, 0-0) 49.5 48 NR
39 38 U Mass (6-0, 0-0) 49.6 30 21
40 44 Missouri (7-0, 0-0) 49.8 75 37
41 28 St Marys (6-0, 0-0) 49.8 61 42
42 37 New Mexico (5-1, 0-0) 50.6 33 28
43 29 Texas (7-1, 0-0) 50.8 20 NR
44 46 Belmont (7-2, 0-0) 53.6 97 NR
45 35 Stanford (6-2, 0-0) 54 55 NR
46 45 LSU (5-2, 0-0) 54.25 42 NR
47 NR Florida St (5-2, 0-0) 55.8 19 30
48 48 Mississippi (6-0, 0-0) 56.8 66 41
49 NR Arizona St (7-2, 0-0) 59.25 79 NR
50 NR George Washington (6-1, 0-0) 59.8 41 43

Sunday, December 01, 2013

November Climate Summary

Wherever you are, wherever you are going, it is good to know where you have been. So I have decided that in addition to continuing my monthly climate summaries during the winter (now at my current residence nestled on the Wasatch Bench), I will compare each month to my former residence in Grand Forks, ND. I am not expecting any surprises - with the more southern latitude I expect noticeably warmer temperatures, and living higher in elevation and often downwind of the Great Salt Lake, I expect a higher seasonal snowfall.

Although it was not too snowy this month, the 3.6" I observed (increasing the seasonal snowfall to 4.8") beat Grand Forks' puny total of 1.6". Regretfully for my former colleagues and friends, obtaining even such a small monthly snowfall came at a price in terms of temperatures. There were only three days in Grand Forks in which the high temperature there was warmer than the high temperature here. Meanwhile, an alarming 16 days there featured high temperatures colder than our low temperature. Clearly the snow:cold ratio is much better here than it is there. Our coldest temperature was on 11/22 with a mean temperature of 30°F, while their coldest day was 11/23, with a mean temperature of -2°F! Needless to say, I do not miss that one iota.

Enjoy this graphical depiction comparing temperatures and snowfall between the Wasatch Bench and Grand Forks:


Salt Lake City, UT

Day CW8826
High
CW8826
Low
SLC Mean
Departure
Snowfall 12z Snow
Depth
Seasonal
Snowfall
1 55 44 +5 0.0” 0” 1.2”
2 67 40 +9 0.0” 0” 1.2”
3 59 30 -2 0.5” 0” 1.7”
4 38 28 -7 Trace 0” 1.7"
5 37 26 -8 2.3" 2" 4.0”
6 51 33 +2 0.0" 0" 4.0”
7 61 41 +6 0.0" 0" 4.0”
8 59 45 +8 0.0" 0" 4.0”
9 58 41 +6 0.0" 0" 4.0”
10 61 43 +8 0.0" 0" 4.0”
11 63 44 +7 0.0" 0" 4.0”
12 64 47 +10 0.0" 0" 4.0”
13 57 43 +7 0.0" 0" 4.0”
14 55 38 +6 0.0" 0" 4.0”
15 46 32 -1 0.6" 0" 4.6”
16 39 32 -1 0.2" 0" 4.8”
17 52 33 +7 0.0" 0" 4.8”
18 60 40 +11 0.0” Trace 4.8”
19 53 42 +13 0.0" 0" 4.8”
20 50 39 +11 0.0" 0" 4.8"
21 39 32 +3 Trace 0" 4.8"
22 35 25 -1 0.0" 0" 4.8"
23 45 27 +1 0.0" 0" 4.8"
24 44 34 +7 0.0" 0" 4.8"
25 45 31 +3 0.0" 0" 4.8"
26 49 32 +5 0.0" 0" 4.8"
27 48 34 +6 0.0" 0" 4.8"
28 47 36 +6 0.0" 0" 4.8"
29 50 36 +8 0.0" 0" 4.8"
30 50 37 +8 0.0" 0" 4.8"
31












Nov 2013 51.23 36.17 +6.8 3.6” N/A N/A

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Statistical College Basketball Rankings, Vol. II

Below are my rankings for the Top 50 college basketball teams. Statistics/ratings are through games played on Monday, 11/25. Louisville, the former #1, dropped to #5 following their loss to UNC. Kansas is the new #1 team and I suspect they'll be near the top much of the season. Dropping out were: Indiana, Georgetown, Virginia, NC State, Arizona State, Southern Mississippi, Colorado State, and Alabama. Replacing those teams were: North Carolina, Texas, Stanford, Tennessee, Dayton, Belmont, Xavier, and Mississippi. As I expected with it being early in the season, some teams fluctuated quite a bit, and I think that will continue for maybe another month. It seems there is not much separating teams ranked 35-50 from team ranked 51-65, so look for another ten or so teams to move up in my Top 50 next week.

Rank Prev.
Rank
TEAM Record Weighted
Metric
2013-14
Metric Rank
AP Rank
1 2 Kansas (4-0, 0-0) 6.125 7 2
2 16 Florida (5-1, 0-0) 15.585 9 15
3 7 Pittsburgh (5-0, 0-0) 16.89 13 39
4 20 Syracuse (5-0, 0-0) 18.215 34 8
5 1 Louisville (5-1, 0-0) 18.228 44 9
6 18 Memphis (2-1, 0-0) 18.49 6 21
7 3 Arizona (5-0, 0-0) 18.72 27 4
8 5 Ohio State (5-0, 0-0) 19.67 28 7
9 13 Oklahoma St (5-0, 0-0) 20.31 1 5
10 11 Michigan St (6-0, 0-0) 20.665 8 1
11 14 Iowa State (5-0, 0-0) 22.55 2 17
12 15 Wisconsin (6-0, 0-0) 22.89 25 10
13 10 UCLA (5-0, 0-0) 28.575 19 19
14 4 Duke (5-1, 0-0) 32.08 84 6
15 22 Kentucky (5-1, 0-0) 32.275 4 3
16 19 Minnesota (5-1, 0-0) 33.205 15 43
17 42 Wichita St (7-0, 0-0) 33.55 23 12
18 23 Baylor (5-0, 0-0) 33.68 36 18
19 26 Colorado (6-1, 0-0) 33.685 11 36
20 21 Oregon (4-0, 0-0) 34.115 43 14
21 NR N Carolina (4-1, 0-0) 34.292 12 16
22 40 California (5-0, 0-0) 36.675 24 NR
23 31 Villanova (4-0, 0-0) 37.895 22 37
24 43 Connecticut (6-0, 0-0) 38.755 30 13
25 25 BYU (5-2, 0-0) 41.125 29 NR
26 30 Cincinnati (4-0, 0-0) 43.48 57 42
27 37 Iowa (5-0, 0-0) 44.865 32 23
28 32 St Marys (5-0, 0-0) 45.55 58 NR
29 NR Texas (4-1, 0-0) 45.58 17 NR
30 35 Creighton (4-0, 0-0) 45.645 45 20
31 36 Oklahoma (4-1, 0-0) 46.105 33 NR
32 45 Arkansas (3-1, 0-0) 46.34 18 NR
33 39 Butler (4-0, 0-0) 46.515 65 NR
34 41 San Diego St (2-1, 0-0) 47.28 50 NR
35 NR Stanford (5-1, 0-0) 48.085 39 NR
36 27 Illinois (5-0, 0-0) 48.745 77 44
37 34 New Mexico (4-1, 0-0) 49.138 38 26
38 46 U Mass (6-0, 0-0) 49.3 20 24
39 12 Gonzaga (4-1, 0-0) 49.47 55 11
40 29 Saint Louis (5-0, 0-0) 50.22 67 NR
41 9 Marquette (3-2, 0-0) 50.898 52 25
42 NR Tennessee (3-1, 0-0) 50.9625 5 41
43 NR Dayton (5-0, 0-0) 52.36 35 NR
44 17 Missouri (5-0, 0-0) 54.63 94 NR
45 50 LSU (3-1, 0-0) 54.65 14 NR
46 NR Belmont (6-1, 0-0) 55.263 68 33
47 NR Xavier (5-0, 0-0) 55.57 31 38
48 NR Mississippi (3-0, 0-0) 55.755 70 NR
49 28 VCU (4-2, 0-0) 57.005 53 27
50 6 Michigan (4-2, 0-0) 57.67 10 22