Saturday, January 05, 2008

College Football Update

With the bowl season winding down, I have begun my post-bowl rankings. I have completed rankings 4-45, and will complete my rankings after tomorrow night's GMAC Bowl and then the National Championship. I will give you a few sneak peaks:

1. Georgia will finish no worse than #2.
2. Texas profits the most from their bowl game. Their blowout of Arizona State jumps them to #13.
3. After a HUGE win, Michigan returns to the top 20, finishing #19.
4. Utah, a team to watch next year, reaches the Top 25 for the first time all season, finishing at #24.
5. After falling flat on their faces in their bowl games, Boise State and South Florida finish at #34 and #35 respectively.

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Overrated/Underrated: A Look Back at my Preseason Top 50

My Preseason Top 50

My LSU/USC national championship was only half-right and then it got kinda ugly. But there are a few bright spots which I will show. And then again some teams (ehem, Louisville) just did not live up to the expectations of most.

Top 13 Overachieving Teams
Team Record Pre-Bowl Rank Pre-Season Rank Difference
Kansas (11-1, 7-1) 9 66 57
Illinois (9-3, 6-2) 13 61 48
Arizona State (10-2, 7-2) 11 50 39
Georgia (10-2, 6-2) 2 37 35
Cincinnati (9-3, 4-3) 22 56 34
Virginia (9-3, 6-2) 23 57 34
Connecticut (9-3, 5-2) 29 62 33
Mississippi State (7-5, 4-4) 40 72 32
Kentucky (7-5, 3-5) 33 63 30
Boston College (10-3, 6-2) 14 42 28
Air Force (9-3, 6-2) 30 55 25
Central Florida (10-3, 7-1) 39 64 25
Ohio State (11-1, 7-1) 1 22 21

Top 13 Underachieving Teams
Team Record Pre-Bowl Rank Pre-Season Rank Difference
Nebraska (5-7, 2-6) 77 17 -60
California (6-6, 3-6) 61 12 -49
Notre Dame (3-9) 80 35 -45
Ohio (6-6, 4-4) 72 29 -43
Miami(FL) (5-7, 2-6) 78 36 -42
Rutgers (7-5, 3-4) 46 7 -39
Louisville (6-6, 3-4) 49 11 -38
Western Michigan (5-7, 3-4) 79 48 -31
Iowa (6-6, 4-4) 74 47 -27
Central Michigan (8-5, 6-1) 54 27 -27
Southern Miss. (7-5, 5-3) 68 43 -25
Michigan (8-4, 6-2) 27 3 -24
TCU (7-5, 4-4) 41 18 -23

13 Teams that Met Expectations
Team Record Pre-Bowl Rank Pre-Season Rank Difference
Oklahoma (11-2, 6-2) 5 5 0
Oregon State (8-4, 6-3) 31 31 0
Florida (9-3, 5-3) 10 9 -1
Arkansas (8-4, 4-4) 18 19 1
LSU (11-2, 6-2) 3 1 -2
Utah (8-4, 5-3) 28 30 2
Virginia Tech (11-2, 7-1) 4 8 4
Auburn (8-4, 5-3) 24 20 -4
Oregon (8-4, 5-4) 38 34 -4
USC (10-2, 7-2) 7 2 -5
West Virginia (10-2, 5-2) 12 6 -6
Boise State (10-2, 7-1) 19 13 -6
Oklahoma State (6-6, 4-4) 43 49 6

So there you have it...if you are interested in a team that I have not listed, let me know.

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Assuming Hawaii Doesn't Choke like Missouri and WVU...

Rank Previous Team Record
1 3 Ohio State (11-1, 7-1)
2 4 Georgia (10-2, 6-2)
3 5 LSU (11-2, 6-2)
4 7 Virginia Tech (11-2, 7-1)
5 11 Oklahoma (11-2, 6-2)
6 8 Hawai'i (11-0, 8-0)
7 9 USC (10-2, 7-2)
8 1 Missouri (11-2, 7-1)
9 6 Kansas (11-1, 7-1)
10 10 Florida (9-3, 5-3)
11 13 Arizona State (10-2, 7-2)
12 2 West Virginia (10-2, 5-2)
13 14 Illinois (9-3, 6-2)
14 12 Boston College (10-3, 6-2)
15 15 Clemson (9-3, 5-3)
16 16 Tennessee (9-4, 6-2)
17 17 Wisconsin (9-3, 5-3)
18 18 Arkansas (8-4, 4-4)
19 19 Boise State (10-2, 7-1)
20 20 South Florida (9-3, 4-3)
21 22 BYU (10-2, 8-0)
22 21 Cincinnati (9-3, 4-3)
23 23 Virginia (9-3, 6-2)
24 24 Auburn (8-4, 5-3)
25 25 Texas Tech (8-4, 4-4)




26 26 Texas (9-3, 5-3)
27 28 Michigan (8-4, 6-2)
28 29 Utah (8-4, 5-3)
29 30 Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)
30 31 Air Force (9-3, 6-2)
31 42 Oregon State (8-4, 6-3)
32 32 Wake Forest (8-4, 5-3)
33 34 Kentucky (7-5, 3-5)
34 35 Michigan State (7-5, 3-5)
35 39 Texas A&M (7-5, 4-4)
36 40 Penn State (8-4, 4-4)
37 37 South Carolina (6-6, 3-5)
38 27 Oregon (8-4, 5-4)
39 44 Central Florida (10-3, 7-1)
40 41 Mississippi State (7-5, 4-4)
41 45 TCU (7-5, 4-4)
42 46 Georgia Tech (7-5, 4-4)
43 48 Oklahoma State (6-6, 4-4)
44 49 Florida State (7-5, 4-4)
45 50 Fresno State (8-4, 6-2)
46 33 Rutgers (7-5, 3-4)
47 38 UCLA (6-6, 5-4)
48 43 Tulsa (9-4, 6-2)
49 NR Louisville (6-6, 3-4)
50 36 Troy (8-4, 6-1)


Final Bowl Outlook
Bowl Game Predicted Matchup
Poinsettia NR Navy vs. NR Utah
New Orleans NR Memphis vs. NR Florida Atlantic
Las Vegas #21 BYU vs. NR California
New Mexico #45 Fresno State vs. NR New Mexico
Papa Johns NR Southern Miss. vs. #22 Cincinnati
Hawaii NR East Carolina vs. NR Nevada
Motor City NR Indiana vs. NR Central Michigan
Holiday #25 Texas Tech vs. #11 Arizona State
Emerald #44 Florida State vs. #38 Oregon
Texas #45 TCU vs. NR Houston
Champs Sports #23 Virginia vs. NR Iowa
Liberty #39 Central Florida vs. #37 South Carolina
Meineke Car Care #32 Wake Forest vs. #30 Connecticut
Alamo #35 Texas A&M vs. #36 Penn State
Independence #43 Oklahoma State vs. #34 Kentucky
Armed Forces #47 UCLA vs. #31 Air Force
Music City #42 Georgia Tech vs. #40 Mississippi State
Sun #31 Oregon State vs. #20 South Florida
Insight NR Colorado vs. #34 Michigan State
Chik-Fil-A Peach #18 Arkansas vs. #14 Boston College
Humanitarian NR Maryland vs. #19 Boise State
Outback #17 Wisconsin vs. #24 Auburn
Cotton #9 Kansas vs. #16 Tennessee
Gator #15 Clemson vs. #26 Texas
Capital One #10 Florida vs. #27 Michigan
Rose #13 Illinois vs. #9 USC
Sugar #3 LSU vs. #8 Missouri
Fiesta #5 Oklahoma vs. #6 Hawaii
Orange #4 Virginia Tech vs. #12 West Virginia
International NR Ball State vs. #46 Rutgers
GMAC NR Bowling Green vs. #48 Tulsa
BCS Championship #1 Ohio State vs. #2 Georgia

*Bold denotes team has accepted bowl bid as of midnight

Monday, November 26, 2007

Championship Week TV Sked

Thursday, 11/29
8:30PM: #33 Rutgers @ Louisvile [ESPN]

Friday, 11/30
8PM: #50 Fresno State @ NR New Mexico State [ESPN2]

Saturday, 12/1
11AM: MAC Championship Game [ESPN2]
.............NR Central Michigan vs. NR Miami (OH)
12PM: NR Navy @ NR Army [CBS]
12PM: Conference-USA Championship Game [ESPN]
.............#43 Tulsa vs. #44 Central Florida
1PM: ACC Championship Game [ABC]
.............#7 Virginia Tech vs. #12 Boston College
4PM: SEC Championship Game [CBS]
.............#5 LSU vs. #16 Tennessee
4:30PM: #38 UCLA @ #9 USC [ABC]
4:30PM: #42 Oregon State @ #27 Oregon [ESPN2]
7:45PM: NR Pitt @ #2 West Virginia [ESPN]
8PM: Big 12 Championship Game [ABC]
.............#1 Missouri vs. #11 Oklahoma
8PM: #47 Arizona @ #13 Arizona State [ESPN2]
11:30PM: NR Washington @ #8 Hawaii [ESPN2]

Bowl Projections (11/28)

2007-08 Bowl Outlook
Bowl Game Predicted Matchup
Poinsettia NR Navy vs. #28 Utah
New Orleans NR Memphis vs. #36 Troy
Las Vegas #22 BYU vs. NR California
New Mexico NR Nevada vs. NR New Mexico
Papa Johns NR Southern Miss. vs. #21 Cincinnati
Hawaii NR East Carolina vs. #50 Fresno State
Motor City #35 Michigan State vs. NR Miami (OH)
Holiday #25 Texas Tech vs. #13 Arizona State
Emerald #46 Georgia Tech vs. #42 Oregon State
Texas #45 TCU vs. NR Houston
Champs Sports #23 Virginia vs. #40 Penn State
Liberty #44 Central Florida vs. NR Alabama
Meineke Car Care #32 Wake Forest vs. #33 Rutgers
Alamo #39 Texas A&M vs. #28 Michigan
Independence #48 Oklahoma State vs. #34 Kentucky
Armed Forces #38 UCLA vs. #31 Air Force
Music City #49 Florida State vs. #41 Mississippi State
Sun #27 Oregon vs. #20 South Florida
Insight NR Colorado vs. NR Iowa
Chik-Fil-A Peach #19 Arkansas vs. #12 Boston College
Humanitarian NR Maryland vs. #19 Boise State
Outback #17 Wisconsin vs. #24 Auburn
Cotton #26 Texas vs. #16 Tennessee
Gator #15 Clemson vs. #30 Connecticut
Capital One #10 Florida vs. #14 Illinois
Rose #3 Ohio State vs. #9 USC
Sugar #5 LSU vs. #11 Oklahoma
Fiesta #6 Kansas vs. #8 Hawaii
Orange #7 Virginia Tech vs. #4 Georgia
International NR Bowling Green vs. NR Louisville
GMAC NR Central Michigan vs. #43 Tulsa
BCS Championship #1 Missouri vs. #2 West Virginia

Sunday, November 25, 2007

Week 13 Rankings

Rank Previous Team Record
1 3 Missouri (11-1, 7-1)
2 4 West Virginia (10-1, 5-1)
3 5 Ohio State (11-1, 7-1)
4 6 Georgia (10-2, 6-2)
5 1 LSU (10-2, 6-2)
6 2 Kansas (11-1, 7-1)
7 8 Virginia Tech (10-2, 7-1)
8 10 Hawai'i (11-0, 8-0)
9 15 USC (9-2, 6-2)
10 12 Florida (9-3, 5-3)
11 14 Oklahoma (10-2, 6-2)
12 13 Boston College (10-2, 6-2)
13 7 Arizona State (9-2, 6-2)
14 17 Illinois (9-3, 6-2)
15 18 Clemson (9-3, 5-3)
16 19 Tennessee (9-3, 6-2)
17 21 Wisconsin (9-3, 5-3)
18 29 Arkansas (8-4, 4-4)
19 9 Boise State (10-2, 7-1)
20 23 South Florida (9-3, 4-3)
21 24 Cincinnati (9-3, 4-3)
22 25 BYU (9-2, 7-0)
23 20 Virginia (9-3, 6-2)
24 26 Auburn (8-4, 5-3)
25 27 Texas Tech (8-4, 4-4)




26 16 Texas (9-3, 5-3)
27 11 Oregon (8-3, 5-3)
28 30 Michigan (8-4, 6-2)
29 28 Utah (8-4, 5-3)
30 22 Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)
31 32 Air Force (9-3, 6-2)
32 34 Wake Forest (8-4, 5-3)
33 33 Rutgers (7-4, 3-3)
34 31 Kentucky (7-5, 3-5)
35 35 Michigan State (7-5, 3-5)
36 43 Troy (8-3, 6-0)
37 38 South Carolina (6-6, 3-5)
38 NR UCLA (6-5, 5-3)
39 NR Texas A&M (7-5, 4-4)
40 40 Penn State (8-4, 4-4)
41 39 Mississippi State (7-5, 4-4)
42 42 Oregon State (7-4, 5-3)
43 44 Tulsa (9-3, 6-2)
44 46 Central Florida (9-3, 7-1)
45 47 TCU (7-5, 4-4)
46 41 Georgia Tech (7-5, 4-4)
47 45 Arizona (5-6, 4-4)
48 36 Oklahoma State (6-6, 4-4)
49 37 Florida State (7-5, 4-4)
50 NR Fresno State (7-4, 5-2)

Dropped Out of Top 25: #26 Texas (Prev. #16), #27 Oregon (Prev. #11), #30 Connecticut (Prev. #22)
-->Replaced By: #18 Arkansas (Prev. #29), #24 Auburn (Prev. # 26), #25 Texas Tech (Prev. #27)

Dropped Out of Top 50: Indiana (Prev. #48), California (Prev. #49), Memphis (Prev. #50)
-->Replaced By: #38 UCLA, #39 Texas A&M, #50 Memphis

Monday, November 19, 2007

Bowl Projections (11/19)

2007-08 Bowl Outlook
Bowl Game Predicted Matchup
Poinsettia NR Navy vs. #28 Utah
New Orleans NR East Carolina vs. #43 Troy
Las Vegas #25 BYU vs. #49 California
New Mexico NR Fresno State vs. NR New Mexico
Papa Johns NR Houston vs. #23 South Florida
Hawaii #50 Memphis vs. NR Nevada
Motor City #35 Michigan State vs. NR Central Michigan
Holiday #27 Texas Tech vs. #15 USC
Emerald #41 Georgia Tech vs. #42 Oregon State
Texas NR Indiana vs. NR Southern Miss.
Champs Sports #18 Clemson vs. #40 Penn State
Liberty #46 Central Florida vs. #38 South Carolina
Meineke Car Care #37 Florida State vs. #22 Connecticut
Alamo #36 Oklahoma State vs. #21 Wisconsin
Independence NR Kansas State vs. NR Alabama
Armed Forces NR UCLA vs. #32 Air Force
Music City #34 Wake Forest vs. #29 Arkansas
Sun #11 Oregon vs. NR Nebraska
Insight NR Texas A&M vs. NR Iowa
Chik-Fil-A Peach #26 Auburn vs. #13 Boston College
Humanitarian NR NC State vs. #9 Boise State
Outback #17 Illinois vs. #31 Kentucky
Cotton #16 Texas vs. #19 Tennessee
Gator #20 Virginia vs. #24 Cincinnati
Capital One #12 Florida vs. #30 Michigan
Rose #5 Ohio State vs. #7 Arizona State
Sugar #6 Georgia vs. #14 Oklahoma
Fiesta #3 Missouri vs. #10 Hawaii
Orange #8 Virginia Tech vs. #4 West Virginia
International NR Bowling Green vs. #33 Rutgers
GMAC NR Miami (OH) vs. #44 Tulsa
BCS Championship #1 LSU vs. #2 Kansas