Thursday, April 09, 2015

2015 MLB Predictions

N A T I O N A L    L E A G U E
EAST W L PCT GB
Nationals 102 60 .630 - -
Marlins 85 77 .525 17
Mets 80 82 .494 22
Braves 74 88 .457 28
Phillies 65 97 .401 37





CENTRAL W L PCT GB
Cardinals 93 69 .574 - -
Pirates 83 79 .512 10
Cubs 79 83 .488 14
Reds 74 88 .457 19
Brewers 71 92 .438 22





WEST W L PCT GB
Dodgers 91 71 .562 - -
Giants 86 76 .531 5
Padres 82 80 .506 9
Rockies 75 87 .463 16
Diamondbacks 62 100 .383 29















A M E R I C A N    L E A G U E
EAST W L PCT GB
Orioles 94 68 .580 - -
Blue Jays 85 77 .525 9
Red Sox 81 81 .500 13
Yankees 78 84 .481 16
Rays 71 91 .438 23





CENTRAL W L PCT GB
Indians 88 74 .543 - -
Tigers 85 77 .525 3
Royals 85 77 .525 3
White Sox 78 84 .481 10
Twins 65 97 .401 23





WEST W L PCT GB
Angels 93 69 .574 - -
Mariners 92 70 .568 1
Athletics 86 76 .531 7
Rangers 75 87 .463 18
Astros 72 90 .444 21

PLAYOFFS

NL Wildcard
5-Marlins over 4-Giants

AL Wildcard
4-Mariners over 5-A's

NLDS
3-Dodgers over 2-Cardinals
1-Nationals over 5-Marlins

ALDS
3-Indians over 2-Angels
1-Orioles over 4-Mariners

NLCS
1-Nationals over 3-Dodgers

ALCS
1-Orioles over 3-Indians



WORLD SERIES
Nationals over Orioles

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

2014-15 Statistical College Basketball Rankings, Vol. III

First blog post of the year, but this is my third set of ratings on the season. Rankings are valid through games played on Sunday, 2/22.

Rank Prev.
Rank
TEAM Record Weighted
Metric
AP
Rank
*Statistical
Mean Rank
1 1 Kentucky (27-0, 14-0) -3.051 1 1
2 3 Wisconsin (25-2, 13-1) 2.755 5 3
3 2 Virginia (25-1, 13-1) 3.932 2 2
4 5 Villanova (25-2, 12-2) 4.052 6 7
5 6 Arizona (24-3, 12-2) 5.234 7 5
6 4 Utah (21-5, 11-3) 7.578 13 8
7 10 Gonzaga (28-1, 16-0) 11.319 3 4
8 7 Ohio St. (19-8, 8-6) 12.500 30 16
9 8 Duke (24-3, 11-3) 14.916 4 5
10 16 Wichita St. (25-3, 15-1) 19.706 11 15
11 18 Baylor (20-7, 8-6) 21.681 19 16
12 15 Kansas (22-6, 11-4) 21.871 8 8
13 12 Iowa St. (20-6, 10-4) 21.908 12 11
14 21 SMU (22-5, 13-2) 22.640 21 26
15 26 Northern Iowa (26-2, 15-1) 24.828 10 18
16 17 Michigan St. (19-8, 10-4) 27.139 27 19
17 11 Butler (19-8, 9-5) 28.737 23 22
18 22 Louisville (22-6, 10-5) 30.188 17 13
19 9 North Carolina (19-8, 9-5) 31.411 15 10
20 25 VCU (21-6, 11-3) 34.548 22 25
21 14 Texas (17-10, 6-8) 37.208 36 23
22 29 Oklahoma (19-8, 10-5) 38.408 16 12
23 28 Iowa (17-10, 8-6) 38.743 NR 29
24 13 Maryland (22-5, 10-4) 40.946 14 28
25 34 Georgetown (18-8, 10-5) 41.971 26 21
26 23 Dayton (20-6, 10-4) 46.925 NR 39
27 42 Arkansas (22-5, 11-3) 48.894 18 24
28 19 Notre Dame (24-4, 12-3) 51.918 9 14
29 41 Xavier (18-11, 8-8) 52.023 NR 27
30 46 Purdue (18-9, 10-4) 54.898 NR 35
31 27 North Carolina St. (16-11, 7-7) 55.468 NR 33
32 37 Providence (19-8, 9-5) 56.796 25 31
33 31 Georgia (17-9, 8-6) 56.802 NR 34
34 36 Illinois (17-10, 7-7) 57.268 NR 40
35 43 Colorado St. (23-5, 10-5) 57.410 NR 45
36 20 West Virginia (21-6, 9-5) 58.009 20 20
37 NR Boise St. (20-7, 10-4) 58.671 NR 41
38 NR Syracuse (17-10, 8-6) 63.855 NR 42
39 NR Texas A&M (19-7, 10-4) 65.611 32 36
40 48 Oklahoma St. (17-10, 7-8) 65.628 29 30
41 40 Cincinnati (18-9, 9-5) 66.433 NR 43
42 47 Mississippi (19-8, 10-4) 66.881 NR 32
43 35 St. John's (19-9, 8-7) 66.950 NR 37
44 38 Miami FL (17-10, 7-7) 67.301 NR 38
45 NR Georgia St. (19-8, 12-4) 67.597 NR NR
46 24 TCU (16-11, 3-11) 68.591 NR 50
47 45 Old Dominion (20-6, 9-5) 68.647 NR NR
48 NR UTEP (19-7, 11-3) 68.949 NR NR
49 NR Arizona St. (15-12, 7-7) 70.081 NR NR
50 NR New Mexico St. (19-10, 11-1) 70.690 NR NR

*Mean of the 5 statistical rankings I consider the best (Pomeroy, Massey, TeamRankings, Sagarin, ESPN BPI)

Dropped from Top 50: Florida, Seton Hall, Stanford, George Washington, Minnesota, Wyoming, South Carolina
Teams Rising towards the Top 50: Valparaiso, Sam Houston State, San Diego State, Stephen F. Austin, BYU, Rhode Island, UCLA, LSU, Tulsa, Indiana, Murray State, Central Michigan, Oregon, Davidson, Toledo, Iona, Pitt, Harvard, Clemson, UC Davis